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Mike Rosenbaum, “Examining the Percentage of MLB Draft Picks Who Reach the Major Leagues,” Bleacher Report, June 12,


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Yahoo Sports MLB @MLByahoosports. Spencer Torkelson is expected to be the No. 1 overall pick by the Tigers in tonight's MLB Draft. Dude hits.


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The Los Angeles Dodgers have won seven of their last eight series openers. This is important to consider when making your MLB picks Monday, as they prepare.


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There's a ton of upside here with a glove-first profile similar to Francisco Lindor's at the same point in his career. Even if they can't, he's one of the safest picks in the draft and a solid addition to the system. His stock benefits a bit from the dearth of shortstop talent in this class, but he also offers some intriguing upside after he grew three inches over the winter and then showed better athleticism this spring. Arizona State first baseman Spencer Torkelson went No. It's a good haul to add to an already deep crop of young talent. This pick wouldn't have made sense for everyone, but it's a great boom-or-bust move for a team on the rise. Now he profiles as one of the best draft-eligible sophomores in the class. Quick hands and a projectable 6'2", pound frame grant him solid offensive upside, and there's zero question he can handle shortstop, which gives him a high floor and plenty of ceiling. That said, Tucker is a solid pick with intriguing upside after the gains he made physically and on the field over the last year. Their first pick will be at No. He posted a 1. The Red Sox don't pick again until No. The gap between Kjerstad and guys like Austin Martin and Nick Gonzales wasn't huge, and if they can maximize their Day 1 with another big name, I like this approach. Shoulder surgery during his junior season robbed him of what was once solid arm strength, and he has slid down the defensive spectrum as a result. His hit tool needs further refining, and he needs to find more overall consistency, but his huge ceiling is impossible to ignore. The Rockies clearly valued the defensive skills of Romo enough to pass on the more polished collegiate backstop, but given the track record of high school catchers in the first round, it's a move they could regret. In order to be a legitimate draft prospect as a high school second baseman, a player has to have significant offensive upside. While Zac Veen is the safest pick and Robert Hassell III has the best hit tool among prep position players, Hendrick has the highest ceiling of any high school hitter in this class. Last summer's breakout performance looks like the real deal. First Round No. The Indians have a nice track record of squeezing more than expected out of pitchers, with budding ace Shane Bieber serving as a prime example. This is a great move by the Cubs, who keep the hometown prospect in Chicago. Burns has one of the highest floors among this year's pitching crop, and he could be one of the first players from this draft class to reach the majors. He'll be a tough sign. The Diamondbacks farm system just keeps getting better after last year's impressive draft haul was followed by the Zack Greinke blockbuster. Before we move on to Day 2 of the draft and the final selections, it's time for a deep dive into all of Wednesday's action. There were plenty of boom-or-bust arms left on the board for the Braves to choose from, and they went with one of the breakout stars of last year's Cape Cod League. The younger brother of Pittsburgh Pirates infielder Cole Tucker, Carson has steadily climbed up draft boards to emerge as the consensus No. A strong start to his senior season after a breakout performance on the showcase circuit solidified Veen's standing as the top high school position player in a thin class. Even if he peaks as a. Ahead you'll find a full scouting report, draft grade and pick analysis for each of the 37 players who heard their name called as part of the first round and Competitive Balance Round A. Balance Round A No. He could slot into the middle of an MLB rotation in the near future, provided he proves he can handle a full season's workload. Note: The Houston Astros forfeited their first-round pick as part of their punishment from their sign-stealing scandal and do not have a Day 1 selection. Veen may need to move off center field as he continues to grow, but he has the arm strength to handle right field when the time comes. Hendrick could easily wind up being the most impactful offensive player in this draft not named Spencer Torkelson. He's a bit undersized at 6'0", pounds, and he lacks the power stuff that many of the draft's other top arms possess. If the bat catches up to the glove, which seems possible, he has a chance to be a star. His command in the zone needs further refinement, as does his changeup, and he could boost his stock with a return to campus. After launching 48 home runs over his first two seasons at Arizona State, he was hitting. That alone is worth an "A" grade after they've gone to that well time and again the last few years. The Rockies didn't draft a corner infielder! Some will argue for a bat here, but developing pitching is a strength of the organization, so there's no reason to move away from that approach. He is also one of the biggest unknowns in this draft class. Shuster's mechanics need some tweaking, but he has a well-built 6'3", pound frame. Yorke offers that with a grade hit tool that ranks among the best in this year's high school class and some present power in his 6'0", pound frame. He still has some work to do refining his overall command, but with a 2.{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} The consensus top player in the draft class and one of the most polished college power hitters in recent memory, Torkelson might already be MLB-ready. There's an argument to be made that the pitching-thin organization should have gone with someone like Louisville lefty Reid Detmers here, but Veen has a chance to be a star. Romo checks all of the boxes behind the plate with "soft hands, advanced receiving skills and a strong arm with a quick release," according to MLB. The 6'2", pound right-hander has always thrown a ton of strikes with his entire four-pitch repertoire, and the uptick in his stuff has vaulted him into the second tier of college pitchers. Why not Ohio State catcher Dillon Dingler? Proving himself against high-level competition on the showcase circuit last summer after he beat up on mediocre high school pitching sent his stock soaring. With a sweet lefty swing and an athletic 6'5", pound frame that has room for further physical progression, Veen draws immediate comparisons to Kyle Tucker, who went No. The Reds have struggled to develop pitching talent in recent years, so while they could have gone with someone like prep right-hander Mick Abel here, I actually think a bat was the way to go. His advanced hit tool takes some pressure off the development of his power, though he certainly has the potential to be a middle-of-the-order threat. Now 6'2" and pounds, he has a well-rounded skill set with an above-average hit tool and the quickness and arm strength to stick at shortstop long-term. Westburg is a fine player with some intriguing power potential, but this pick doesn't really fit with the reach for Kjerstad at No. He is polished beyond his years defensively and has a strong case for being the top defensive catcher in this class. His plus changeup remains his best pitch and is one of the best in the draft, and he also throws a quality slider. Cecconi likely would have been a first-round pick in the draft had he not been slowed by an injury during his senior year of high school. Even if he proves capable of handling third base, the 6'1", pound slugger will likely never be more than an average defender, which means his bat will be the driving force behind his value. That puts a ton of pressure on his bat, and with that comes some obvious risk. Shuster struggled to a 6. I like this pick a lot, provided he's signable. A 6'6" left-hander who touches mph with his fastball, Crochet has tantalizing upside. Of the remaining college pitchers on the board, Jarvis offers the best mix of floor and ceiling. That shouldn't be an issue. The 6'4", pound southpaw is extremely polished with a lively fastball that touches 97 mph , two quality breaking pitches in a hard slider and a slower curveball and a plus changeup he can fade and sink. There's a reason Lacy is the consensus top pitcher in this draft class, aside from the fact that durable left-handed pitchers with mids fastballs don't exactly grow on trees. He'll have to sign well-below-slot, and they'll have to come away with a couple of steals on Day 2 for this to make a lick of sense. Maybe they can help Burns get to another level. Cecconi comes with more risk than their first pick of the night, but the Diamondbacks could end up walking away with two of the best college pitchers in this class if things break right. First, he'll need to rein in an aggressive approach that led to a He has the skill set to be an average defensive shortstop, but he may fit better at second or third base. Kjerstad slugged 31 home runs in his first two collegiate seasons and hit a staggering. But this pick was completely off the board. Westburg was one of the stars of the Cape Cod League last summer, hitting. He followed that up with a hot start this spring, posting a. An aggressive approach at the plate means he'll always have a fair amount of swing-and-miss to his game, but there's enough meat on the offensive bone to deal with a few strikeouts. His fastball sits in the mph range and can touch 97, but he relies more on command than power, backing it with a plus slider and an average changeup. Why not go with prep right-hander Jared Kelley above-slot here? The 6'4", pound right-hander has a big arm with a fastball that touches 96 mph and two quality breaking pitches, and he throws a lot of strikes. While that takes a lot of pressure off his offensive game, the switch-hitter also offers some power potential and an average hit tool. While he hit just 10 home runs in games at Mississippi State, he has the bat speed and raw power to be a homer threat. Torkelson gives the Tigers a potential offensive star to add to their pitching-rich farm system, and he could be manning first base in Detroit before the season is over. This would seem to signal that the Orioles have cut a deal here at No. {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}The first 37 picks of the MLB draft are officially in the books. The White Sox already have a deep farm system in place, so they could afford to roll the dice on Crochet delivering on his huge upside. His fastball velocity has ticked up from the upper 80s to the mids, even touching 97 mph this spring before the season was halted. This pick has been a foregone conclusion throughout the predraft process. A high school teammate of second-round pick Alek Thomas, Howard is the top prep shortstop and the top overall defender at the position in the class. Jarvis tacked on 20 pounds of muscle between his sophomore and junior seasons, and after an overpowering start to the spring, he had as much helium as any prospect in this draft when the season was halted. The 6'3", pound slugger has the prototypical power-hitting right fielder profile. All told, he had a less-than-stellar 4. He has the best mix of hit tool and power out of any prospect in the class not named Spencer Torkelson. It was a bit surprising to see the Indians shy away from the high school arms left on the board after they rolled the dice on Ethan Hankins and Daniel Espino when they slid in recent drafts. He made only 13 collegiate starts and dealt with some shoulder soreness this spring before striking out six of the 12 batters he faced over 3. He posted a 0.